Macron to shift French forces south in West Africa troop drawdown
President Emmanuel Macron said Friday that France would start closing military bases in northern Mali by year-end, as the jihadist threat in the Sahel begins to shift south and expose more countries in the region to Islamist attacks.
Macron announced last month that he would start removing much of the 5,100-member Barkhane force in the Sahel after eight years of helping local forces stave off the threat from Islamist rebels linked to Al-Qaeda and the Islamic State.
“Our enemies have abandoned their territorial ambitions in favour of spreading their threat not only across the Sahel, but across all of West Africa,” Macron said after a video summit with the leaders of Mali, Burkina Faso, Chad, Mauritania and Niger.
“Unfortunately this offensive implies increased pressure on all the Gulf of Guinea countries, which is already a reality,” he said.
Macron promises that an international alliance will help secure the region going forward⤵️ pic.twitter.com/8zwbERpi3K
— FRANCE 24 English (@France24_en) July 9, 2021
Analysts have long warned that jihadist insurgents in the five Sahel countries could turn their focus to other nations including the Ivory Coast or Benin.
“We are going to reorganise ourselves in line with this need to stop this spread to the south, and it will lead to a reduction of our military footprint in the north,” Macron said.
But speaking alongside Niger’s President Mohamed Bazoum, the only leader to travel to Paris for the talks, Macron insisted that France would remain a long-term partner for the G5 countries.
After the drawdown, France will still have “2,500 to 3,000” soldiers in the region, he said.
“But in no way are we going to take over the responsibilities and sovereignty of nations in the region, to fulfil their missions for restoring security and government services to their populations,” he said.
Bazoum, for his part, said Niger would repatriate up to 130,000 people displaced from their villages since 2015 who sought refuge from Islamist fighters in neighbouring Nigeria.
“We have set a deadline of the month of November-December for all the refugees from Nigeria who are in the Diffa region (of southeast Niger) to return home,” Bazoum said.
They are among several thousands of people across the Sahel countries forced from their homes as jihadists closed schools and held off government forces with increasingly bold attacks in recent years.
— FRANCE 24 English (@France24_en) July 9, 2021
France is hoping to convince its European allies to step up their participation in the Sahel anti-terrorism fight as part of an international Takuba force to bolster local armies.
But fresh political turmoil in Mali and Chad in particular, where military juntas are now in charge, raises further questions about whether local governments can effectively tackle the Islamist threat.
While Macron said Chad’s interim leader Mahamat Idriss Deby Itno had given assurances this week of a democratic transition after the killing of Deby’s father in April, with Mali there was more “mistrust”.
France suspended military cooperation with Mali last month after the second coup in nine months, after military strongman Assimi Goita imprisoned and then ousted the country’s civilian transitional president and prime minister.
“Even though I denounced these two coups… We remained militarily committed because it’s important for Malians and everyone in the region,” Macron said.
Macron has pressed Sahel leaders to win public support by stamping out corruption in their impoverished states, and by restoring government control and public services.
France has also struggled to train local troops grouped in a G5 Sahel anti-jihadist alliance that remains outmatched in many areas by jihadist fighters who have staged increasingly bold attacks in recent months.
Paris now plans to fold its presence into the so-called Takuba international task force, originally a training operation for Mali. The force currently comprises around 600 soldiers, half of them French.
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So far the Czech Republic, Estonia, Italy and Sweden have answered Macron’s calls for contributions to help make Takuba function more as a counter-terrorism mission.
Even if bigger allies like Germany sent hundreds of soldiers, winning the fight against insurgents spread across a semi-desert area the size of Western Europe won’t be easy.
“For many European governments, the current extent of their military involvement in the Sahel already pushes up against political red lines at home,” said Andrew Lebovich, a researcher at the European Council on Foreign Relations.
“An ill-coordinated drawdown and ad hoc coalition building risks the worst of all worlds, creating political and security costs for Europe… and removing ways to work with, or pressure, Sahelian states to pursue much-needed changes,” he said.