Goldman Sachs cuts U.S. growth forecast as commodity prices bite

FILE PHOTO: A customer counts his cash at the register while purchasing an item at a Best Buy store in Flushing

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Goldman Sachs analysts downgraded their forecasts for U.S. economic growth for this year, reckoning that spikes in oil and other commodities since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will hurt spending.

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The investment bank cut its annualised growth forecast to 2.9% against a previous expectation of 3.1%. It expects fourth-quarter real gross domestic product growth of 1.75% against a previous forecast of 2%.

Goldman analysts, led by Jan Hatzius, said there are additional downside risks if shortages of key metals constrain U.S. production, and put the chance of a recession during the next year at 20%-35%.

(Reporting by Tom Westbrook; Editing by Tom Hogue)

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