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Msc 2023, the game of the dragon. The role of China in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict Access to the commentsCOMMENTS
By Alberto De Filippis • Updated: 17/02/2023 – 07:01
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The security order in Europe, which now needs to be entirely reimagined, has become the event’s origin due to Russia’s war against Ukraine. It will be necessary to do this by creating new regulations, updating institutions, and reevaluating the entire European security apparatus in light of emerging or previously unidentified threats.
More generally, this conflict necessitates a reconsideration of the guiding principles and ideals of the international system, which is currently beset by conflicting “visions” between democracies and autocracies.
Here six things to watch:
One, China
The conference’s main objective will be to define what the European Union’s relationship with China should be, both as a whole and as individual countries. This conversation is more difficult than it used to be because of the connection between economic expansion and national security, whether it be in innovation, trade, energy, or pandemic preparedness.
The Sino-Russian collaboration will continue to be in the spotlight a year after their “no-limits alliance,” and China will continue to help Russia with necessary supplies. Wang Yi, a former foreign minister and new member of the Politburo, is expected to attend, whereas Russia has not gotten an official invitation for the first time in many years (Russia did not send a delegation in 2022).
Mirko Campochiari one of the most succesful military analysts on the web, says: “It is thought that China wants to play a game called escalate to de-escalate. They create a crisis situation and then they offer a compensation or a political reconciliation. China has not yet exposed itself about the war in Ukraine. Partly because China has a very careful, soft-power oriented policy. For them to come out of the closet and play a part in the conflict, to become a major player and try to mediate the Ukrainian crisis, this could bring great gains in visibility, but it could also be a major failure. It could undermine the way China sees itself (as a world power). Therefore I don’t believe China will play any role in this conflict, not to mention the fact that a weak Russia might even be convenient to China in the long run, because Beijing could so acquire cheap hydrocarbons and gas, since Russia wille necessarily have to venting other markets”.
Two, Ukraine
Several days after the Munich Security Conference in 2022, Russian soldiers first occupied Ukraine. The resilience of the two opposing armies will be a hotly debated topic once springtime returns. According to the existing plan, war will likely continue indefinitely. Even though there has been a great deal of loss and damage, it does not seem that this strategy will be opposed in the near future.
Christoph Heusgen, the new MSC’s boss, favors the sale of fighter jets to Ukraine%20%3Ca%20href=%22https://twitter.com/TRTWorldNow/status/1489860089313775616?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw”>February 5, 2022
