MASSIVE Lebanon Escalation Leaves Netanyahu Flailing!
Where divisions have been sown between Lebanon’s government and Hezbollah, can they resolve them before the ceasefire with Israel ends?
Right, so with just a day left of the Lebanon ceasefire, Netanyahu’s days of abusing it with impunity with little or no comeback, as both Lebanese forces and Hezbollah have not risen to the bait look set to end. Over 1300 breaches of the ceasefire have been committed by the IDF, for whom the rules never seem to apply and with time running out for them in Lebanon, an extension to the ceasefire having already been given to them to give them more time to leave has been marked by them very much not leaving and even escalating their atrocities all the more.
But with a new President in Lebanon now and a new government having now taken over, clashes have happened not just between Israel and Lebanon, but between Lebanon and Hezbollah too, at least in a political sense, an issue that will only ever help Israel if the two forces in Lebanon cannot get themselves on the same page.
Right, so the looming end of the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon is upon us, set to expire tomorrow, not that Israel have really taken any notice of it in the slightest, having breached it incessantly and repeatedly as they have, but with the end of it the powder keg that has been Lebanon and Hezbollah both by and large adhering to the ceasefire whilst Israel hasn’t is waiting to explode, with all of the implications for regional stability and civilian lives that will inevitably come with that.
But whilst the ceasefire has been in place, the political landscape of Lebanon has changed. They now have a new President in Joseph Aoun, he has appointed a new government, a new cabinet, led by former President of The International Court of Justice Nawaf Salam, a government which includes 5 members of Hezbollah of course, they might be regarded as just another terrorist organisation in some countries, but they are also elected political figures and when Lebanese governments are always coalitions of some form or another, this should not be particularly surprising to anyone. Yet despite Hezbollah being this powerful Lebanese political and military group, terror group depending on where you live, they are also at odds with their own government over how to handle Israel, plus the small matter of the flight suspension with Iran, purely on the basis of Israeli claims, which have caused further division between Lebanese government and Hezbollah, Iran being their great allies.
So with a ceasefire ending and all the mess that will no doubtr come with that as Lebanese forces seem certain to begin retaliation again, who stands to gain here, and who stands to lose? And most importantly, what does this mean for the people caught in the crossfire?
Well the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon has been a sick joke at best. Officially, it was meant to de-escalate tensions along the border between the two nations, Hezbollah required to leave the area south of the Litani River and be replaced in effect by Lebanese army personnel, but Israel have continually claimed this hasn’t happened as their justification to remain.
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